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Probability

A fixed budget of 1 gets split, zoomed, mixed, compared: the probability the models actually learn from.

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Lessons

16 lessons are ready.

  1. 01Leftover Must Sum to 1
  2. 02Conditioning Zooms the Leftover
  3. 03Bayes Reallocates Leftover
  4. 04A Random Variable Names the Leftover
  5. 05Expectation Mixes the Outcomes
  6. 06Variance Is Spread of Leftover
  7. 07Density Is Leftover per Length
  8. 08Joint Tables Split Leftover Two Ways
  9. 09Named Families ML Actually Uses
  10. 10Independence Is a Product
  11. 11MLE Makes the Data Most Probable
  12. 12MAP Spends a Prior on Leftover Belief
  13. 13KL Is Leftover Surprise Between Guesses
  14. 14Softmax Turns Scores into Leftover
  15. 15Averages Concentrate
  16. 16Markov Leftover and Nested Expectation